WORKING GROUPS
Working Group 4: Certification of disease freedom BLCMs
Working Groups:
The updated BLCMs methods of WG3 will be modified under WG4 to be used for calculating the probability of disease freedom, as well as the probability of not exceeding pre-specified critical thresholds of true prevalence at each compartmental level
The work of WG4 is strongly linked to WG3. The updated BLCMs methods of WG3 will be modified under WG4 to be used for calculating the probability of disease freedom, as well as the probability of not exceeding pre-specified critical thresholds of true prevalence at each compartmental level (e.g. the probability that less than 10% of households or other regional divisions within a country are infected).
As with WG2 and WG3, training and dissemination on disease freedom calculations will be the responsibility of WG4 and WG5 members.
Tasks
- T4.1: Review and update existing methods for calculating the probability of disease freedom.
- T4.3: Prepare of a white paper reporting sound and case-specific methods for calculating the probability of disease freedom.
- T4.3: Develop training material for domain-expert scientists as well as methodologists in BMLCs.
WG4 Members
Arianna Comin
WG4 Co-leader & MC Member
National Veterinary Institute - SVA
Sweden
Tarmo Niine
WG4 Active Co-leader & MC Substitute
Estonian University of Life Sciences
Estonia
Andrzej Jarynowski
WG3 Co-leader & MC Member
Interdisciplinary Research Institute
Poland
Christiana Demetriou
MC Member
University of Nicosia Medical School
Cyprus
Julio Alvarez
WG2 Co-leader & MC Member
VISAVET Health Surveillance Center
Spain
László Ózsvári
MC Member
University of Veterinary Medicine, Budapest
Hungary
Marcel Leppée
STSM Coordinator & MC Member
Institute for Healthy Ageing
Croatia
Müller-Graf Christine
WG Member
Bundesinstitut für Risikobewertung (BfR)
Germany
Rocsana Bucea-Manea-Tonis
WG Member
Spiru Haret University, Faculty of Economic Sciences, Bucharest
Romania
Saraya Tavornpanich
WG5 Co-leader & MC Member
Norwegian Veterinary Institute
Norway
Søren Saxmose Nielsen
MC Member
University of Copenhagen, Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences
Denmark
Vesna Velikj Stefanovska
MC Member
Medical Faculty, University "St Kiril and Metodij"
Macedonia